Sports wagering can be very profitable if a person know the tricks this “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make income. One of the biggest secrets that smart money bettors use will be knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a ideal case in point. I actually analyzed the particular Rest of the world Virginia vs. Louisville sport, and concluded of which West Va had typically the edge in the video game. Nevertheless , I actually also realized that there was a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guarantee on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released just before the game:

West California or Louisville

This game has all the indicators of being one connected with the very best games associated with the year, with equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, along with Rest of the world Virginia coming backside from becoming down massive in the next fraction to winning inside overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport look like this year?

If this match were turning into played with a fairly neutral field, West Las vegas would probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since often the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented move. They haven’t lost due to the fact Oct. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they dropped to Florida Tech. On the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last on the lookout for games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 ROAD games.

These kinds of are some very remarkable stats that tilt the particular scales in favor connected with WVU with regard to tonight’s online. Plus, this added in bonus offer is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This will likely not look like quite a bit, but in a near match-up such as this, that extra point could make the distinction between a push and a loss.

But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling may be almost as good since WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS within their last 10 home game titles.

Plus if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at your home since December 17, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points every game at home, while averaging only quitting 15. six points every game with home. In case anyone failed to do the math, that means considering their very own last home loss they’ve averaged beating his or her oppositions by way of about 34 points per game.

In addition extraordinary, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten often the divide, on average, by way of 13 things per activity at home given that the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

Almost all of those stats had been piled up during the july 2004 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They also have had recent games in which they’ve only scored twenty eight, 3, 24 points. That game titles weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. Many people had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

The end result is that this is still a close activity to call. Nonetheless what virtual sports look to get is West Virginia’s protection to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s virtually no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to the middle of 20’s. My honest endorsement can be to lay off this game and definitely not guess at all. There will be better games this end of the week with more simple advantages.

The final score on this game was Louisville 46, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to return a new punt for a good TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s border weren’t so big which they could still win following building so many mistakes. By means of not betting on that activity, people significant regarding wagering saved money many people can put to better employ on forthcoming games.