Sports gambling can be extremely profitable if you know the strategies typically the “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that sensible money bettors use is knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a perfect example. My partner and i analyzed this Rest of the world Va vs. Louisville video game, and concluded of which West Florida had often the edge in the video game. However , My spouse and i also came to the realization that there initially were a great deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not bet on that game. Here is my analysis I released prior to the game:

West Va vs . Louisville

This activity has all the symptoms of being one involving the greatest games of the year, together with both teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, both with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, together with Western world Virginia coming backside from getting down big in the 4th fraction to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the action look like this year?

When this video game were turning into played from the fairly neutral field, West Va would probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since typically the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented move. They will haven’t lost due to the fact April. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they dropped to California Tech. Through the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 HIGHWAY games.

These are some very impressive stats that tilt the scales in favor associated with WVU for tonight’s games. Plus, this added bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This may not seem like quite a bit, but in a close match-up similar to this, that extra point could make the change between the push and a loss.

But what about Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are generally almost as good since WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In his or her past 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS into their very last 10 home video games.

And if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at your home since December 17, 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for each game in your house, while averaging only quitting 15. six points each game in home. In case an individual did not do the math concepts, that means given that their particular last home loss they already have averaged beating their own opposing team by way of about thirty four factors per game.

Even greater amazing, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the get spread around, on average, by simply 13 points per sport at home considering 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s the way…

caz79.com of those stats were being accumulated during the 2004 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They already have had recent games that has they have already only scored twenty eight, 12, 24 points. These game titles weren’t against Ohio E. or Michigan. They had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The bottom line is of which this is still a close game to call up. Nevertheless what I look intended for is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s simply no explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to middle of the 20’s. My honest suggestion is usually to lay off this kind of game and certainly not gamble at all. There usually are better activities this saturday and sunday with more simple rewards.

The final score of this game was Louisville forty four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to go back the punt for some sort of TD. The results was that West Virginia’s borders wasn’t so big they will could still win soon after producing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this specific activity, people critical regarding wagering saved money these people can offer better work with on approaching games.