Sports playing are often very profitable if an individual know the secrets and techniques the particular “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make cash. One of the greatest secrets that wise money bettors use can be knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a great example of this. We analyzed the particular Western side Florida vs. Louisville match, and concluded that West Va had often the edge in the match. However , My spouse and i also came to the realization that there initially were a great deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not guess on this particular game. Here is my personal analysis I released just before the game:

West Va or Louisville

This sport has all the indications of being one of the greatest games involving the year, having equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, using West Virginia coming rear from becoming down huge in the fourth 1 / 4 to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the adventure search like this year?

In the event this activity were as played from some sort of basic field, West Va might probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented roll. They will haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they lost to Va Tech. Through the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 STREET games.

All these are some very outstanding stats that tilt this scales in favor of WVU with regard to tonight’s games. Plus, often the added reward is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This could not appear like significantly, but in a close match-up like this, that more point will make the change between some sort of push and a loss.

But what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are generally almost as good while WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very own very last 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS in their very last 10 home game titles.

Together with if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped at home since December 18, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. some points for each game at home, while hitting only leaving behind 15. six points for every game with home. In teamsnowdragons do the figures, that means considering his or her last home damage they are yet to averaged beating their very own opposing team by simply about 34 points per game.

Furthermore outstanding, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the particular spread, on average, by simply 13 details per activity at home since 2003.

Wow… how can you not in favor of that?

Here’s just how…

The majority of those stats have been accumulated during the 2005 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They already have had recent games where they’ve only scored twenty eight, 3, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Oh E. or Michigan. They will had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

To put it succinctly that will this is still a close activity to call. Nevertheless what I look for is West Virginia’s security to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s no explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to the low to mid 20’s. My honest advice can be to lay off that game and definitely not wager at all. There are usually better video games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score with this game was Louisville 46, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to go back a good punt for the TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s fringe had not been so big they can still win immediately after building so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this particular video game, people significant about wagering saved money that they can offer better work with on future games.