Sports bets can be very profitable if a person know the strategies often the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make income. One of the biggest secrets that wise money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a best case in point. We analyzed the Western side Las vegas vs. Louisville match, and concluded the fact that West Virginia had this edge in the match. However , I also noticed that there initially were a great deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not gamble on this specific game. Here is my personal analysis I released prior to the game:

West Florida or Louisville

This activity possesses all the indications of being one involving the ideal games of the year, having the two teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, along with Western world Virginia coming rear from staying down huge in the independence day one fourth to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the action seem like this year?

In case this video game were getting played with the neutral field, West California would certainly probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since typically UFABET168 is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented spin. Many people haven’t lost given that July. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they missing to Las vegas Tech. In the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 STREET games.

All these are some very outstanding stats that tilt typically the scales in favor of WVU with regard to tonight’s game. Plus, typically the extra added bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This will likely not look like substantially, but in a shut match-up such as this, that special point can make the variation between a new push in addition to a loss.

But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics may be almost as good since WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their own past 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home video games.

And even if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at your home since Dec 20, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. five points for each game at your home, while averaging only letting go of 15. seven points per game from home. In case an individual failed to do the figures, that means considering their very own last home loss they’ve averaged beating their very own opposing team by means of about 34 points per game.

In addition remarkable, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten typically the pass on, on average, simply by 13 things per sport at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

The majority of those stats were being established during the july 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They’ve acquired recent games that has they’ve only scored 35, 12, 24 points. That game titles weren’t against Iowa Stycken. or Michigan. They will were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

The bottom line is the fact that this is still a good close video game to call up. Nevertheless what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s safety to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s zero purpose to think WVU can’t have one to this low to the middle of 20’s. My honest endorsement is definitely to lay off that game and certainly not wager at all. There usually are better activities this saturday and sunday with more simple advantages.

The final score of the game was Louisville forty four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to go back some sort of punt for a TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s borders had not been so big that they could very well still win after producing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this specific match, people significant about wagering saved money these people can put to better work with on approaching games.