Sports wagering is often very profitable if anyone know the secrets and techniques the “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make money. The most significant secrets that sensible money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a great example. My spouse and i analyzed the Western Virginia vs. Louisville sport, and concluded the fact that West Florida had typically the edge in the activity. Nevertheless , I actually also came to the realization that there were a good deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not gamble on this particular game. Here is our analysis I released ahead of the game:

West California vs . Louisville

This activity has all the indications of being one involving the best games involving the year, with both equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, along with Western world Virginia coming backside from staying down huge in the 4th fraction to winning in overtime.

So what’s the action look like this year?

If UFABET168 were getting played from a good simple field, West California would certainly probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since often the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented move. They will haven’t lost given that April. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they dropped to Florida Tech. Through the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last on the lookout for activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 PATH games.

These types of are some very outstanding stats that tilt this scales in favor of WVU for tonight’s gaming. Plus, the added reward is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This may not seem like very much, but in a close match-up this way, that extra point will make the distinction between a good push and a loss.

But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are really almost as good because WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular final 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their last 10 home game titles.

Together with if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at your home since December 20, the year 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points per game in your house, while averaging only stopping 15. 6 points for each game from home. In case an individual failed to do the mathematics, that means given that their particular last home loss they have already averaged beating their very own adversaries by way of about thirty four points per game.

Even greater impressive, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the particular get spread around, on average, by way of 13 factors per sport at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

Most of those stats had been built up during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They already have acquired recent games where they are yet to only scored 28, twenty-three, 24 points. That activities weren’t against Kentkucky Saint. or Michigan. They were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

To put it succinctly the fact that this is still a close activity to contact. Nevertheless the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s zero purpose to think WVU can’t have one to the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest professional recommendation will be to lay off that game and definitely not guarantee at all. There usually are better games this saturday and sunday with more simple benefits.

The final score of the game was Louisville forty four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to go back a punt for some sort of TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s fringe has not been so big which they could very well still win right after doing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this particular sport, people serious regarding gambling saved money that they can offer better apply on future games.